The Hazards Of Prophecy

January, 1989

The Hazards of ProphecyWith monotonous regularity, apparently competent men have laid down the law about what is technically possible or impossible -- and have been proved utterly wrong, sometimes while the ink was scarcely dry from their pens. On careful analysis, it appears that these debacles fall into two classes, which I will call Failures of Nerve and Failures of Imagination.The Failure of Nerve seems to be the more common; it occurs when even given all the relevant facts, the would-be pro...